No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | +14.51 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -7.82 |
| Return 95th percentile % | +41.53 |
| Median max drawdown % | -7.69 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -15.06 |
| Probability of loss % | 14.70 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 729 | +0.22 | +0.44 | +0.89 | 51.88 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 76 | -0.89 | -0.31 | +3.41 | 44.74 | -0.75 |
| Strong Long | 11 | -0.04 | +1.31 | -1.09 | 27.27 | +0.87 |
| Trendline breakout | 10 | -1.47 | -1.43 | -2.12 | 20.00 | -1.86 |
| Swing point breakout | 9 | -0.25 | +1.20 | -0.25 | 22.22 | +0.76 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 202 | +0.61 | +1.44 | +1.72 | 51.98 | +1.01 |
| MACD above signal line | 350 | +0.18 | +0.75 | +1.92 | 53.43 | +0.32 |
| Above key moving averages | 318 | +0.70 | +1.38 | +1.88 | 52.20 | +0.94 |
| Above-average volume | 257 | -0.30 | -0.01 | +0.80 | 48.24 | -0.45 |
| RSI in healthy range | 644 | +0.26 | +0.42 | +0.41 | 51.89 | -0.01 |
| Bullish pattern | 31 | -0.81 | -2.28 | -0.16 | 50.00 | -2.72 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 2 | -0.51 | -2.94 | +4.63 | 50.00 | -3.38 |
| Double Bottom | 23 | -0.02 | -2.18 | -0.56 | 50.00 | -2.62 |
| Triple Bottom | 4 | -6.80 | -5.95 | -5.83 | 50.00 | -6.38 |
| Bull Flag | 1 | +3.70 | -1.21 | +5.81 | 0.00 | -1.65 |
| Cup and Handle | 1 | +0.60 | +10.36 | +15.71 | 100.00 | +9.92 |
| Head and Shoulders | 2 | -11.04 | -12.64 | -9.29 | 0.00 | -13.08 |
| Double Top | 18 | +0.48 | -0.29 | +1.78 | 44.44 | -0.73 |
| Triple Top | 4 | +0.86 | -1.32 | -1.22 | 50.00 | -1.75 |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 12 | +2.69 | +5.85 | +5.19 | 83.33 | +5.41 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 762.41 | 2026-10-09 | 735.72 | Breakdown | 19 | -3.70% |
| 2026-09-10 | 723.00 | 2026-09-11 | 708.37 | Breakdown | 1 | -2.22% |
| 2026-09-06 | 766.90 | 2026-09-09 | 719.44 | Stop loss | 3 | -6.38% |
| 2026-08-23 | 695.63 | 2026-09-05 | 768.66 | Take profit | 13 | +10.29% |
| 2026-08-01 | 587.30 | 2026-08-20 | 641.08 | Take profit | 19 | +8.95% |
| 2026-06-01 | 710.90 | 2026-06-02 | 663.46 | Stop loss | 1 | -6.87% |
| 2026-05-27 | 656.76 | 2026-05-30 | 725.84 | Take profit | 3 | +10.31% |
| 2026-05-12 | 670.94 | 2026-05-18 | 636.64 | Stop loss | 6 | -5.31% |
| 2026-03-05 | 658.33 | 2026-04-02 | 594.65 | Stop loss | 28 | -9.86% |
| 2026-01-16 | 931.68 | 2026-01-21 | 883.75 | Breakdown | 5 | -5.34% |
| 2025-10-13 | 1,303.30 | 2025-10-17 | 1,110.92 | Stop loss | 4 | -14.95% |
| 2025-10-08 | 1,305.08 | 2025-10-10 | 1,192.91 | Stop loss | 2 | -8.79% |
| 2025-10-03 | 1,090.77 | 2025-10-07 | 1,255.02 | Take profit | 4 | +14.84% |
| 2025-09-19 | 981.54 | 2025-10-02 | 1,089.57 | Take profit | 13 | +10.79% |
| 2025-08-30 | 862.73 | 2025-09-18 | 996.52 | Take profit | 19 | +15.29% |
| 2025-08-23 | 900.65 | 2025-08-26 | 838.90 | Breakdown | 3 | -7.05% |
| 2025-08-07 | 769.93 | 2025-08-22 | 891.84 | Take profit | 15 | +15.62% |
| 2025-07-24 | 777.13 | 2025-08-01 | 782.74 | Breakdown | 8 | +0.52% |
| 2025-07-19 | 730.28 | 2025-07-23 | 801.86 | Take profit | 4 | +9.59% |
| 2025-07-11 | 686.14 | 2025-07-18 | 738.77 | Take profit | 7 | +7.46% |
| 2025-05-15 | 652.80 | 2025-06-06 | 633.01 | Breakdown | 22 | -3.23% |
| 2025-02-13 | 697.27 | 2025-02-24 | 621.87 | Stop loss | 11 | -11.00% |