No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -2.17 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -14.82 |
| Return 95th percentile % | +14.33 |
| Median max drawdown % | -8.27 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -15.97 |
| Probability of loss % | 60.00 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 729 | -0.01 | -0.05 | -0.08 | 49.37 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 52 | -1.27 | -1.92 | -2.90 | 40.38 | -1.87 |
| Strong Long | 8 | -2.54 | -1.70 | -2.59 | 50.00 | -1.66 |
| Trendline breakout | 7 | -1.52 | -1.36 | -0.46 | 42.86 | -1.31 |
| Swing point breakout | 10 | -1.18 | -0.68 | -1.45 | 50.00 | -0.63 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 148 | -0.46 | -0.72 | -1.98 | 42.57 | -0.67 |
| MACD above signal line | 343 | -0.02 | +0.36 | +0.57 | 52.19 | +0.41 |
| Above key moving averages | 296 | +0.09 | -0.03 | -0.37 | 47.97 | +0.02 |
| Above-average volume | 313 | -0.24 | -0.21 | -0.63 | 49.51 | -0.16 |
| RSI in healthy range | 655 | -0.07 | -0.11 | -0.12 | 48.06 | -0.06 |
| Bullish pattern | 26 | +0.25 | +1.05 | +2.74 | 46.15 | +1.10 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 1 | +3.35 | -1.83 | -5.33 | 0.00 | -1.78 |
| Double Bottom | 19 | -0.40 | +0.59 | +2.28 | 42.11 | +0.64 |
| Triple Bottom | 2 | +7.00 | +8.82 | +8.55 | 100.00 | +8.87 |
| Bull Flag | 2 | -1.55 | +1.23 | +8.74 | 50.00 | +1.28 |
| Cup and Handle | 2 | -0.11 | -1.08 | -0.89 | 50.00 | -1.03 |
| Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Top | 18 | -0.43 | +0.69 | -0.99 | 52.94 | +0.74 |
| Triple Top | 4 | -1.19 | +0.33 | +3.46 | 50.00 | +0.38 |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 16 | -0.99 | -1.03 | -2.33 | 43.75 | -0.98 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 80,924.30 | 2026-10-03 | 84,475.74 | Breakdown | 14 | +4.18% |
| 2026-08-22 | 78,377.20 | 2026-09-16 | 75,606.66 | Breakdown | 25 | -3.73% |
| 2026-05-06 | 80,945.98 | 2026-05-16 | 79,073.64 | Breakdown | 10 | -2.51% |
| 2026-02-26 | 68,022.03 | 2026-05-05 | 81,277.78 | Take profit | 68 | +19.27% |
| 2026-01-14 | 95,461.70 | 2026-01-20 | 90,346.06 | Stop loss | 6 | -5.55% |
| 2025-12-03 | 91,323.52 | 2025-12-16 | 86,388.86 | Breakdown | 13 | -5.60% |
| 2025-10-06 | 123,544.06 | 2025-10-10 | 118,161.77 | Stop loss | 4 | -4.55% |
| 2025-07-23 | 120,014.41 | 2025-08-01 | 113,990.50 | Stop loss | 9 | -5.21% |
| 2025-07-17 | 118,689.76 | 2025-07-19 | 117,865.88 | Breakdown | 2 | -0.89% |
| 2025-07-10 | 111,289.62 | 2025-07-14 | 121,257.75 | Take profit | 4 | +8.75% |
| 2025-05-22 | 109,698.81 | 2025-05-30 | 103,591.46 | Stop loss | 8 | -5.76% |
| 2025-05-02 | 96,538.14 | 2025-05-21 | 108,141.56 | Take profit | 19 | +11.81% |
| 2025-03-25 | 87,541.91 | 2025-04-06 | 80,060.18 | Stop loss | 12 | -8.74% |