No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -17.15 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -28.09 |
| Return 95th percentile % | -1.19 |
| Median max drawdown % | -19.30 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -28.38 |
| Probability of loss % | 96.05 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 729 | -0.75 | -1.56 | -3.26 | 40.61 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 67 | -1.59 | -5.04 | -10.13 | 26.87 | -3.48 |
| Strong Long | 5 | -4.04 | -6.37 | -10.43 | 40.00 | -4.81 |
| Trendline breakout | 10 | -4.86 | -9.20 | -11.99 | 10.00 | -7.64 |
| Swing point breakout | 8 | +0.95 | +1.34 | -6.28 | 50.00 | +2.90 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 138 | -2.42 | -4.59 | -8.31 | 31.88 | -3.03 |
| MACD above signal line | 389 | -1.14 | -1.14 | -2.14 | 39.43 | +0.41 |
| Above key moving averages | 186 | -1.89 | -3.16 | -6.68 | 38.17 | -1.60 |
| Above-average volume | 289 | -1.18 | -2.31 | -4.10 | 39.79 | -0.75 |
| RSI in healthy range | 659 | -0.98 | -1.67 | -3.24 | 39.14 | -0.12 |
| Bullish pattern | 34 | +0.50 | -0.76 | +1.17 | 44.12 | +0.80 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 1 | +2.55 | -6.67 | -7.93 | 0.00 | -5.11 |
| Double Bottom | 22 | +0.07 | -1.64 | +2.41 | 45.45 | -0.08 |
| Triple Bottom | 10 | +1.02 | +2.30 | -0.98 | 50.00 | +3.86 |
| Bull Flag | 1 | +2.54 | -6.17 | +5.58 | 0.00 | -4.61 |
| Cup and Handle | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Head and Shoulders | 1 | -9.12 | -9.13 | +7.46 | 0.00 | -7.57 |
| Double Top | 11 | -2.55 | -5.36 | -9.72 | 36.36 | -3.80 |
| Triple Top | 2 | -2.79 | -3.35 | -4.51 | 0.00 | -1.79 |
| Bear Flag | 1 | -9.60 | -17.61 | -15.97 | 0.00 | -16.05 |
| Breakdown below support | 19 | -0.28 | -1.37 | -7.32 | 33.33 | +0.18 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 0.08777 | 2026-10-08 | 0.08899 | Breakdown | 18 | +1.18% |
| 2026-09-04 | 0.08786 | 2026-09-15 | 0.07849 | Stop loss | 11 | -10.86% |
| 2026-08-23 | 0.09192 | 2026-08-30 | 0.08269 | Stop loss | 7 | -10.23% |
| 2026-08-22 | 0.09160 | 2026-08-22 | 0.08440 | Stop loss | 0 | -8.05% |
| 2026-08-12 | 0.07194 | 2026-08-20 | 0.08102 | Take profit | 8 | +12.41% |
| 2026-07-27 | 0.07343 | 2026-08-01 | 0.06770 | Stop loss | 5 | -7.99% |
| 2026-07-04 | 0.07758 | 2026-07-23 | 0.06972 | Stop loss | 19 | -10.31% |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.10412 | 2026-05-19 | 0.10472 | Breakdown | 19 | +0.37% |
| 2026-02-15 | 0.11110 | 2026-02-23 | 0.09418 | Stop loss | 8 | -15.41% |
| 2026-01-07 | 0.15063 | 2026-01-18 | 0.13392 | Stop loss | 11 | -11.28% |
| 2026-01-02 | 0.12688 | 2026-01-06 | 0.15455 | Take profit | 4 | +21.58% |
| 2025-09-16 | 0.26843 | 2025-09-22 | 0.23446 | Stop loss | 6 | -12.84% |
| 2025-07-19 | 0.23592 | 2025-08-01 | 0.20607 | Stop loss | 13 | -12.84% |
| 2025-07-13 | 0.19751 | 2025-07-18 | 0.24516 | Take profit | 5 | +23.90% |
| 2025-05-29 | 0.22107 | 2025-05-31 | 0.18972 | Stop loss | 2 | -14.37% |
| 2025-05-14 | 0.24090 | 2025-05-24 | 0.22510 | Breakdown | 10 | -6.75% |
| 2025-03-25 | 0.18308 | 2025-04-06 | 0.15349 | Stop loss | 12 | -16.35% |
| 2025-03-03 | 0.23942 | 2025-03-03 | 0.19682 | Stop loss | 0 | -17.98% |
| 2025-01-17 | 0.37668 | 2025-01-27 | 0.31986 | Stop loss | 10 | -15.27% |
| 2025-01-04 | 0.38008 | 2025-01-09 | 0.31997 | Stop loss | 5 | -16.00% |