No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -0.96 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -14.80 |
| Return 95th percentile % | +16.53 |
| Median max drawdown % | -8.61 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -16.67 |
| Probability of loss % | 54.00 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 729 | +0.04 | +0.12 | +0.27 | 47.43 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 53 | -0.36 | -0.66 | +2.20 | 48.08 | -0.78 |
| Strong Long | 2 | -2.61 | -4.34 | +2.34 | 0.00 | -4.46 |
| Trendline breakout | 4 | -2.76 | -4.73 | +0.34 | 33.33 | -4.85 |
| Swing point breakout | 6 | -1.46 | -2.19 | +5.36 | 40.00 | -2.31 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 160 | +0.21 | +0.69 | +2.52 | 54.43 | +0.57 |
| MACD above signal line | 325 | +0.19 | +0.74 | +1.84 | 49.53 | +0.63 |
| Above key moving averages | 271 | +0.78 | +1.88 | +2.36 | 50.92 | +1.76 |
| Above-average volume | 294 | -1.07 | -1.74 | -1.91 | 40.83 | -1.86 |
| RSI in healthy range | 634 | -0.29 | -0.41 | -0.64 | 44.73 | -0.53 |
| Bullish pattern | 21 | -2.33 | -3.85 | -1.22 | 33.33 | -3.97 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Bottom | 17 | -1.69 | -3.81 | -0.16 | 35.29 | -3.93 |
| Triple Bottom | 2 | -4.63 | -4.83 | -17.17 | 50.00 | -4.95 |
| Bull Flag | 1 | -9.91 | -4.88 | +14.20 | 0.00 | -4.99 |
| Cup and Handle | 1 | -1.04 | -1.61 | -1.66 | 0.00 | -1.73 |
| Head and Shoulders | 2 | +0.12 | +5.73 | +15.55 | 50.00 | +5.61 |
| Double Top | 19 | +2.52 | +4.63 | +2.87 | 57.89 | +4.51 |
| Triple Top | 4 | -2.87 | -2.22 | -4.28 | 25.00 | -2.34 |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 20 | -2.02 | -3.00 | -4.12 | 35.00 | -3.12 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | 2,425.81 | 2026-11-05 | 2,241.14 | Stop loss | 0 | -7.81% |
| 2026-09-19 | 2,613.45 | 2026-10-03 | 2,667.26 | Breakdown | 14 | +1.86% |
| 2026-08-22 | 2,517.57 | 2026-09-16 | 2,397.06 | Breakdown | 25 | -4.98% |
| 2026-07-03 | 1,701.42 | 2026-08-19 | 2,037.62 | Take profit | 47 | +19.54% |
| 2026-03-18 | 2,318.54 | 2026-03-21 | 2,074.31 | Stop loss | 3 | -10.72% |
| 2026-01-15 | 3,356.60 | 2026-01-20 | 3,114.77 | Stop loss | 5 | -7.40% |
| 2025-12-10 | 3,319.70 | 2025-12-15 | 2,932.77 | Stop loss | 5 | -11.84% |
| 2025-08-19 | 4,315.15 | 2025-09-25 | 3,875.92 | Stop loss | 37 | -10.37% |
| 2025-08-14 | 4,751.68 | 2025-08-18 | 4,327.35 | Stop loss | 4 | -9.12% |
| 2025-08-09 | 4,011.51 | 2025-08-13 | 4,750.58 | Take profit | 4 | +18.21% |
| 2025-07-19 | 3,548.69 | 2025-08-02 | 3,486.47 | Breakdown | 14 | -1.95% |
| 2025-07-16 | 3,139.47 | 2025-07-18 | 3,665.36 | Take profit | 2 | +16.53% |
| 2025-06-05 | 2,608.98 | 2025-06-06 | 2,412.81 | Breakdown | 1 | -7.71% |
| 2025-05-11 | 2,584.51 | 2025-05-24 | 2,525.23 | Breakdown | 13 | -2.49% |
| 2025-04-23 | 1,757.13 | 2025-05-08 | 2,219.71 | Take profit | 15 | +26.10% |