No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -4.07 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -4.08 |
| Return 95th percentile % | -4.05 |
| Median max drawdown % | -4.07 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -4.08 |
| Probability of loss % | 100.00 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 133 | -1.67 | -2.99 | -4.94 | 27.64 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 5 | -2.23 | -7.26 | -8.17 | 0.00 | -4.27 |
| Strong Long | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Trendline breakout | 2 | -3.77 | -9.08 | – | 0.00 | -6.10 |
| Swing point breakout | 1 | +3.08 | -4.37 | -1.72 | 0.00 | -1.38 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 18 | -4.09 | -7.42 | -12.55 | 0.00 | -4.43 |
| MACD above signal line | 51 | -0.26 | -0.44 | -1.69 | 48.00 | +2.55 |
| Above key moving averages | 19 | -1.51 | -5.33 | -12.59 | 21.05 | -2.34 |
| Above-average volume | 38 | +0.64 | -1.55 | -3.74 | 39.39 | +1.44 |
| RSI in healthy range | 112 | -1.22 | -2.18 | -3.57 | 31.78 | +0.80 |
| Bullish pattern | 4 | -2.81 | -2.24 | +0.41 | 25.00 | +0.75 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Bottom | 3 | -1.80 | -0.59 | +3.92 | 33.33 | +2.39 |
| Triple Bottom | 1 | -5.82 | -7.16 | -10.11 | 0.00 | -4.17 |
| Bull Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cup and Handle | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Top | 1 | -4.21 | -1.85 | +12.20 | 0.00 | +1.13 |
| Triple Top | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 3 | +3.93 | -0.09 | +5.32 | 50.00 | +2.90 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 1.5748 | 2026-10-08 | 1.4060 | Stop loss | 9 | -10.91% |
| 2026-08-21 | 1.3987 | 2026-09-16 | 1.2930 | Stop loss | 26 | -7.75% |