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MUBUSDT (1d)

2026-06-11 → 2026-11-11 · 154 bars · generated 2026-11-12 07:14 UTC

Signal on the last closed bar
Neutral
Score 7.5 / 21 · 36% confidence · close 791.98
Strategy return
-2.05%
Buy & hold -12.00%
Max drawdown
-2.41%
Exposure 3%
Sharpe ratio
-1.73
annualised
Win rate
0.0%
1 trades
Profit factor
0.00
Avg trade -9.46%
Fees paid
4.13
Capital 10,000
Chance of loss
100%
2,000 Monte Carlo runs

Price, signals & trades

hover a candle to see why it scored

Equity vs buy & hold

Signal checklist (last bar)

  • Trendline breakout+5
  • Swing point breakout+4
  • Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI+3
  • MACD above signal line+2
  • Above key moving averages+2
  • Above-average volume+1.5
  • RSI in healthy range+1
  • Bullish pattern+2.5

Trade plan

No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.

Monte Carlo – 2,000 resampled trade sequences

Median return %-2.05
Return 5th percentile %-2.05
Return 95th percentile %-2.05
Median max drawdown %-2.05
Max drawdown 5th percentile %-2.05
Probability of loss %100.00

Signal edge – what happened after each signal

SignalCountAvg 5-bar %Avg 10-bar %Avg 20-bar %Hit rate 10-bar %Edge 10-bar %
All bars (baseline)154-0.76-1.84-3.5543.750.00
Long or Strong Long1-3.75-26.56–0.00-24.72
Strong Long0–––––
Trendline breakout3-12.63-2.98-14.8750.00-1.13
Swing point breakout1-3.75-26.56–0.00-24.72
Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI2-13.90-20.49-6.720.00-18.64
MACD above signal line59-2.83-2.75-0.5037.93-0.90
Above key moving averages47-1.82-3.47-3.8031.91-1.63
Above-average volume67-1.41-2.29-4.6441.67-0.44
RSI in healthy range135-1.56-2.37-2.8741.09-0.53
Bullish pattern3-1.25-4.56-4.0633.33-2.72
Inverse Head and Shoulders0–––––
Double Bottom3-1.25-4.56-4.0633.33-2.72
Triple Bottom0–––––
Bull Flag0–––––
Cup and Handle0–––––
Head and Shoulders0–––––
Double Top3-2.67-5.19-2.8333.33-3.35
Triple Top0–––––
Bear Flag0–––––
Breakdown below support2-12.14––––

Trades

EntryEntry priceExitExit priceReasonBarsReturn
2026-10-28942.452026-11-02855.06Stop loss5-9.46%