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NEARUSDT (1d)

2024-11-13 → 2026-11-11 · 729 bars · generated 2026-11-12 07:14 UTC

Signal on the last closed bar
Neutral
Score 2.5 / 21 · 12% confidence · close 3.5860
Strategy return
+14.39%
Buy & hold -32.85%
Max drawdown
-12.36%
Exposure 32%
Sharpe ratio
0.83
annualised
Win rate
47.1%
17 trades
Profit factor
1.81
Avg trade +3.33%
Fees paid
48.30
Capital 10,000
Chance of loss
11%
2,000 Monte Carlo runs

Price, signals & trades

hover a candle to see why it scored

Equity vs buy & hold

Signal checklist (last bar)

  • Trendline breakout+5
  • Swing point breakout+4
  • Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI+3
  • MACD above signal line+2
  • Above key moving averages+2
  • Above-average volume+1.5
  • RSI in healthy range+1
  • Bullish pattern+2.5

Trade plan

No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.

Monte Carlo – 2,000 resampled trade sequences

Median return %+14.40
Return 5th percentile %-5.05
Return 95th percentile %+39.00
Median max drawdown %-6.28
Max drawdown 5th percentile %-13.73
Probability of loss %10.85

Signal edge – what happened after each signal

SignalCountAvg 5-bar %Avg 10-bar %Avg 20-bar %Hit rate 10-bar %Edge 10-bar %
All bars (baseline)729+0.44+0.88+2.0446.180.00
Long or Strong Long76+3.70+7.12+14.7653.95+6.24
Strong Long8+16.65+13.21+22.4575.00+12.33
Trendline breakout7+11.03+13.44+7.0371.43+12.55
Swing point breakout8+13.17+9.65+18.2362.50+8.77
Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI191+1.91+4.17+8.5344.50+3.29
MACD above signal line355+1.30+3.58+5.7249.58+2.70
Above key moving averages258+0.83+2.13+5.5243.02+1.25
Above-average volume279+0.82+0.47+2.4344.93-0.41
RSI in healthy range650+0.18+0.50+1.6544.84-0.38
Bullish pattern28+2.97+0.65-2.6557.14-0.23
Inverse Head and Shoulders1-5.95-11.45-12.260.00-12.33
Double Bottom23+2.86+0.61-0.5360.87-0.28
Triple Bottom4+5.80+3.93-12.4150.00+3.05
Bull Flag0–––––
Cup and Handle0–––––
Head and Shoulders0–––––
Double Top14+2.42+8.22+4.7457.14+7.33
Triple Top3-10.19-9.44-7.570.00-10.32
Bear Flag0–––––
Breakdown below support10+7.09+2.49-0.9950.00+1.61

Trades

EntryEntry priceExitExit priceReasonBarsReturn
2026-10-195.01952026-11-023.8916Stop loss14-22.65%
2026-10-125.89892026-10-144.7886Stop loss2-19.00%
2026-09-214.16912026-09-275.4796Take profit6+31.20%
2026-09-183.14762026-09-204.0646Take profit2+28.90%
2026-09-072.44022026-09-173.0580Take profit10+25.09%
2026-08-231.87792026-09-062.3474Take profit14+24.77%
2026-06-042.81842026-06-042.3212Stop loss0-17.82%
2026-05-242.45322026-06-033.0701Take profit10+24.92%
2026-05-221.92802026-05-232.3613Take profit1+22.25%
2026-05-091.59882026-05-211.9079Take profit12+19.11%
2026-02-261.17262026-05-061.5323Take profit69+30.45%
2025-12-271.51882026-01-301.3753Breakdown34-9.64%
2025-11-082.76942025-11-162.2706Stop loss8-18.19%
2025-08-162.70842025-09-012.2863Stop loss16-15.77%
2025-07-192.80542025-08-012.4470Stop loss13-12.96%
2025-05-133.18962025-05-172.7323Stop loss4-14.52%
2025-03-202.79142025-04-062.2533Stop loss17-19.46%