No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -6.21 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -6.26 |
| Return 95th percentile % | -6.17 |
| Median max drawdown % | -6.21 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -6.26 |
| Probability of loss % | 100.00 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 154 | -0.47 | -0.61 | -0.15 | 47.92 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 4 | -3.14 | -8.86 | -6.92 | 0.00 | -8.25 |
| Strong Long | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Trendline breakout | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Swing point breakout | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 4 | -3.75 | -8.27 | -8.38 | 0.00 | -7.66 |
| MACD above signal line | 55 | -0.83 | -1.58 | -0.23 | 36.36 | -0.97 |
| Above key moving averages | 65 | -0.23 | -0.54 | -1.54 | 49.23 | +0.07 |
| Above-average volume | 75 | +0.44 | +1.02 | -0.54 | 59.70 | +1.63 |
| RSI in healthy range | 133 | -0.18 | -0.05 | +0.32 | 52.34 | +0.57 |
| Bullish pattern | 3 | -2.71 | -9.29 | -4.52 | 0.00 | -8.68 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 1 | -2.58 | -7.66 | -2.54 | 0.00 | -7.05 |
| Double Bottom | 2 | -2.77 | -10.11 | -6.51 | 0.00 | -9.50 |
| Triple Bottom | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bull Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cup and Handle | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Top | 5 | -2.01 | -1.56 | +5.44 | 60.00 | -0.95 |
| Triple Top | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 231.15 | 2026-10-14 | 221.85 | Stop loss | 5 | -4.22% |
| 2026-10-07 | 240.08 | 2026-10-08 | 231.33 | Stop loss | 1 | -3.84% |
| 2026-09-05 | 229.83 | 2026-09-13 | 216.92 | Stop loss | 8 | -5.81% |