← All markets

PEPEUSDT (1d)

2024-11-13 → 2026-11-11 · 729 bars · generated 2026-11-12 07:14 UTC

Signal on the last closed bar
Neutral
Score 7.5 / 21 · 36% confidence · close 0.00000452
Strategy return
-1.76%
Buy & hold -67.99%
Max drawdown
-10.40%
Exposure 30%
Sharpe ratio
-0.08
annualised
Win rate
33.3%
15 trades
Profit factor
0.89
Avg trade -1.94%
Fees paid
37.47
Capital 10,000
Chance of loss
58%
2,000 Monte Carlo runs

Price, signals & trades

hover a candle to see why it scored

Equity vs buy & hold

Signal checklist (last bar)

  • Trendline breakout+5
  • Swing point breakout+4
  • Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI+3
  • MACD above signal line+2
  • Above key moving averages+2
  • Above-average volume+1.5
  • RSI in healthy range+1
  • Bullish pattern+2.5

Trade plan

No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.

Monte Carlo – 2,000 resampled trade sequences

Median return %-2.29
Return 5th percentile %-15.61
Return 95th percentile %+15.12
Median max drawdown %-9.16
Max drawdown 5th percentile %-17.77
Probability of loss %58.20

Signal edge – what happened after each signal

SignalCountAvg 5-bar %Avg 10-bar %Avg 20-bar %Hit rate 10-bar %Edge 10-bar %
All bars (baseline)729-0.25-0.56-1.4543.950.00
Long or Strong Long63-3.26-6.39-13.6530.00-5.83
Strong Long5+4.38-3.43-8.8033.33-2.88
Trendline breakout9+0.42+1.30-3.2050.00+1.86
Swing point breakout7-3.13-12.25-15.5016.67-11.70
Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI166-3.64-5.58-8.5828.85-5.02
MACD above signal line377-1.20-1.46-2.1542.39-0.90
Above key moving averages225-1.08-1.43-1.1839.07-0.87
Above-average volume256-2.32-3.93-4.9339.68-3.37
RSI in healthy range651-0.33-0.65-1.3243.37-0.09
Bullish pattern23+0.20-3.43-8.1947.83-2.88
Inverse Head and Shoulders1+7.10-3.22-18.900.00-2.66
Double Bottom16+0.28-4.81-12.1043.75-4.25
Triple Bottom5-2.21+1.91+9.7680.00+2.47
Bull Flag0–––––
Cup and Handle1+4.06-8.42-24.670.00-7.86
Head and Shoulders0–––––
Double Top16+2.87+12.72+3.5075.00+13.28
Triple Top4-4.83-3.99-4.3250.00-3.44
Bear Flag1-17.16-6.40-10.670.00-5.84
Breakdown below support13+0.51-2.24-7.3933.33-1.68

Trades

EntryEntry priceExitExit priceReasonBarsReturn
2026-10-300.000004552026-11-110.00000452End of data12-0.96%
2026-10-140.000004202026-10-290.00000549Take profit15+30.43%
2026-09-220.000004772026-09-290.00000408Stop loss7-14.69%
2026-09-190.000003812026-09-210.00000484Take profit2+26.65%
2026-08-230.000004072026-08-300.00000352Stop loss7-13.81%
2026-07-040.000002772026-08-210.00000350Take profit48+25.93%
2026-04-280.000003912026-05-230.00000347Stop loss25-11.57%
2026-01-040.000006102026-01-190.00000528Stop loss15-13.75%
2026-01-020.000004932026-01-030.00000624Take profit1+26.32%
2025-12-030.000004572025-12-180.00000371Stop loss15-18.98%
2025-07-290.000011922025-08-250.00000979Stop loss27-17.99%
2025-07-170.000013562025-07-240.00001272Breakdown7-6.34%
2025-06-090.000011692025-06-210.00000932Stop loss12-20.41%
2025-05-110.000013712025-05-240.00001379Breakdown13+0.43%
2025-03-250.000007992025-04-030.00000638Stop loss9-20.32%