No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -12.22 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -19.51 |
| Return 95th percentile % | -1.42 |
| Median max drawdown % | -13.66 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -19.72 |
| Probability of loss % | 96.95 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 729 | -0.30 | -0.63 | -1.24 | 45.90 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 50 | -1.22 | -4.19 | -4.10 | 38.00 | -3.56 |
| Strong Long | 7 | -3.71 | -5.95 | -7.40 | 14.29 | -5.32 |
| Trendline breakout | 7 | -6.26 | -8.95 | -11.05 | 28.57 | -8.32 |
| Swing point breakout | 6 | -3.67 | -5.71 | -5.32 | 16.67 | -5.08 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 143 | -1.59 | -2.81 | -3.54 | 37.06 | -2.18 |
| MACD above signal line | 350 | -0.13 | +0.27 | +0.78 | 48.00 | +0.90 |
| Above key moving averages | 248 | +0.04 | -0.23 | -1.06 | 44.76 | +0.40 |
| Above-average volume | 288 | +0.10 | -0.27 | -1.12 | 46.45 | +0.36 |
| RSI in healthy range | 652 | -0.42 | -0.66 | -1.15 | 45.30 | -0.04 |
| Bullish pattern | 28 | -2.08 | -0.56 | -0.64 | 39.29 | +0.07 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 4 | +2.96 | +10.37 | +17.83 | 100.00 | +11.00 |
| Double Bottom | 21 | -2.63 | -2.01 | -2.72 | 28.57 | -1.38 |
| Triple Bottom | 3 | -4.94 | -4.94 | -11.41 | 33.33 | -4.31 |
| Bull Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cup and Handle | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Head and Shoulders | 2 | -5.01 | -5.60 | +3.10 | 50.00 | -4.98 |
| Double Top | 17 | +0.29 | +2.79 | +0.88 | 58.82 | +3.42 |
| Triple Top | 2 | -3.39 | -5.79 | -4.87 | 0.00 | -5.16 |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 17 | -0.21 | -0.59 | -2.81 | 43.75 | +0.04 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 112.78 | 2026-10-03 | 118.59 | Breakdown | 14 | +4.95% |
| 2026-08-24 | 95.49 | 2026-09-16 | 96.83 | Breakdown | 23 | +1.21% |
| 2026-02-26 | 88.09 | 2026-06-02 | 75.13 | Stop loss | 96 | -14.90% |
| 2026-01-07 | 141.15 | 2026-01-20 | 128.64 | Stop loss | 13 | -9.05% |
| 2025-11-25 | 138.50 | 2025-12-18 | 123.22 | Breakdown | 23 | -11.22% |
| 2025-09-13 | 242.30 | 2025-09-22 | 219.79 | Stop loss | 9 | -9.48% |
| 2025-08-15 | 192.56 | 2025-09-12 | 238.40 | Take profit | 28 | +23.58% |
| 2025-07-21 | 181.53 | 2025-08-01 | 165.13 | Stop loss | 11 | -9.23% |
| 2025-05-14 | 183.84 | 2025-05-17 | 164.37 | Stop loss | 3 | -10.78% |
| 2025-03-25 | 141.08 | 2025-04-02 | 118.57 | Stop loss | 8 | -16.14% |
| 2025-03-03 | 178.81 | 2025-03-03 | 145.22 | Stop loss | 0 | -18.97% |
| 2025-01-20 | 252.53 | 2025-02-01 | 213.41 | Stop loss | 12 | -15.67% |