No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | +1.34 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -4.54 |
| Return 95th percentile % | +7.58 |
| Median max drawdown % | -2.08 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -4.54 |
| Probability of loss % | 41.05 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 153 | -0.61 | -1.41 | -1.69 | 44.06 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 11 | +0.20 | +0.96 | +1.06 | 54.55 | +2.37 |
| Strong Long | 2 | +0.66 | -4.59 | -1.96 | 0.00 | -3.18 |
| Trendline breakout | 2 | +5.70 | +19.23 | +21.33 | 100.00 | +20.63 |
| Swing point breakout | 2 | +0.66 | -4.59 | -1.96 | 0.00 | -3.18 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 46 | +0.32 | +1.05 | +2.67 | 60.87 | +2.46 |
| MACD above signal line | 56 | +1.87 | +3.88 | +4.40 | 62.26 | +5.29 |
| Above key moving averages | 55 | -0.30 | -0.13 | -0.09 | 47.27 | +1.28 |
| Above-average volume | 67 | +1.18 | +0.11 | +1.36 | 47.54 | +1.51 |
| RSI in healthy range | 124 | -0.45 | -0.93 | -2.04 | 46.09 | +0.48 |
| Bullish pattern | 2 | +6.86 | +8.80 | +15.24 | 50.00 | +10.21 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Bottom | 2 | +6.86 | +8.80 | +15.24 | 50.00 | +10.21 |
| Triple Bottom | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bull Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cup and Handle | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Top | 4 | +0.23 | +2.95 | +4.28 | 75.00 | +4.36 |
| Triple Top | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bear Flag | 1 | -3.41 | -6.49 | +14.46 | 0.00 | -5.08 |
| Breakdown below support | 1 | +7.47 | +4.07 | +20.54 | 100.00 | +5.48 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | 168.55 | 2026-10-13 | 157.87 | Stop loss | 5 | -6.54% |
| 2026-08-13 | 146.82 | 2026-09-16 | 142.84 | Breakdown | 34 | -2.91% |
| 2026-07-29 | 116.67 | 2026-08-12 | 149.20 | Take profit | 14 | +27.65% |