No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -6.45 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -20.57 |
| Return 95th percentile % | +13.69 |
| Median max drawdown % | -13.01 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -22.58 |
| Probability of loss % | 72.70 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 729 | +0.50 | +0.98 | +1.56 | 45.48 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 77 | -0.53 | -0.74 | +3.86 | 34.21 | -1.72 |
| Strong Long | 7 | -3.99 | -4.58 | -0.05 | 50.00 | -5.56 |
| Trendline breakout | 11 | -2.74 | -8.74 | -5.36 | 30.00 | -9.73 |
| Swing point breakout | 9 | +0.23 | -1.20 | +0.48 | 50.00 | -2.18 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 214 | +0.19 | +1.38 | +3.84 | 42.52 | +0.40 |
| MACD above signal line | 335 | -0.80 | +0.05 | +0.61 | 43.43 | -0.93 |
| Above key moving averages | 232 | +0.81 | +2.71 | +5.52 | 46.55 | +1.73 |
| Above-average volume | 268 | +0.24 | +0.19 | +1.28 | 41.60 | -0.79 |
| RSI in healthy range | 628 | -0.01 | -0.15 | -0.44 | 42.72 | -1.14 |
| Bullish pattern | 21 | +2.02 | +1.67 | +2.99 | 47.62 | +0.69 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 2 | -5.50 | +0.25 | +18.40 | 50.00 | -0.73 |
| Double Bottom | 15 | +0.40 | +0.08 | +1.66 | 40.00 | -0.91 |
| Triple Bottom | 4 | +11.83 | +8.35 | -0.03 | 75.00 | +7.37 |
| Bull Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cup and Handle | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Top | 13 | -4.32 | -0.71 | +2.41 | 38.46 | -1.70 |
| Triple Top | 1 | +4.41 | -7.16 | -12.17 | 0.00 | -8.14 |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 19 | +0.02 | -1.22 | +4.04 | 58.82 | -2.20 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | 7.6298 | 2026-11-11 | 6.6677 | Breakdown | 6 | -12.80% |
| 2026-09-29 | 8.8124 | 2026-10-08 | 7.9070 | Breakdown | 9 | -10.46% |
| 2026-09-23 | 10.2321 | 2026-09-28 | 8.6594 | Stop loss | 5 | -15.55% |
| 2026-09-18 | 7.7959 | 2026-09-22 | 10.2567 | Take profit | 4 | +31.33% |
| 2026-09-06 | 7.0515 | 2026-09-10 | 6.0586 | Stop loss | 4 | -14.27% |
| 2026-08-31 | 5.1336 | 2026-09-05 | 6.5925 | Take profit | 5 | +28.19% |
| 2026-08-22 | 4.1381 | 2026-08-30 | 5.1281 | Take profit | 8 | +23.70% |
| 2026-07-29 | 3.8959 | 2026-08-04 | 3.9070 | Breakdown | 6 | +0.08% |
| 2026-07-12 | 3.6588 | 2026-07-14 | 3.5522 | Breakdown | 2 | -3.11% |
| 2026-06-18 | 3.2286 | 2026-06-24 | 2.7710 | Stop loss | 6 | -14.36% |
| 2026-06-16 | 2.8474 | 2026-06-17 | 3.5481 | Take profit | 1 | +24.38% |
| 2026-05-12 | 3.8979 | 2026-05-16 | 3.5185 | Stop loss | 4 | -9.93% |
| 2026-03-17 | 4.1581 | 2026-03-18 | 3.6618 | Stop loss | 1 | -12.12% |
| 2025-11-13 | 7.5718 | 2025-11-18 | 7.4183 | Breakdown | 5 | -2.23% |
| 2025-11-11 | 9.3547 | 2025-11-12 | 7.8249 | Stop loss | 1 | -16.54% |
| 2025-08-09 | 10.8664 | 2025-08-26 | 9.6981 | Breakdown | 17 | -10.94% |
| 2025-07-22 | 10.8344 | 2025-08-01 | 9.2185 | Stop loss | 10 | -15.10% |
| 2025-07-17 | 8.9065 | 2025-07-21 | 11.6018 | Take profit | 4 | +30.03% |
| 2025-05-29 | 6.8484 | 2025-06-21 | 7.0655 | Breakdown | 23 | +2.97% |
| 2025-05-10 | 6.3582 | 2025-05-24 | 5.9780 | Breakdown | 14 | -6.17% |
| 2025-04-23 | 5.8139 | 2025-05-04 | 5.0067 | Stop loss | 11 | -14.07% |
| 2025-03-20 | 6.9885 | 2025-04-03 | 5.7042 | Stop loss | 14 | -18.56% |
| 2025-02-21 | 9.3457 | 2025-02-25 | 7.9740 | Breakdown | 4 | -14.86% |