No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.
| Median return % | -14.17 |
| Return 5th percentile % | -23.77 |
| Return 95th percentile % | +2.49 |
| Median max drawdown % | -17.44 |
| Max drawdown 5th percentile % | -25.12 |
| Probability of loss % | 94.10 |
| Signal | Count | Avg 5-bar % | Avg 10-bar % | Avg 20-bar % | Hit rate 10-bar % | Edge 10-bar % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All bars (baseline) | 729 | +0.62 | +1.16 | +1.76 | 43.53 | 0.00 |
| Long or Strong Long | 38 | +0.37 | -2.77 | -6.15 | 23.68 | -3.93 |
| Strong Long | 5 | -5.21 | -5.89 | -8.72 | 20.00 | -7.05 |
| Trendline breakout | 8 | -4.42 | -4.52 | -5.44 | 25.00 | -5.68 |
| Swing point breakout | 4 | -3.36 | -8.81 | -6.02 | 25.00 | -9.97 |
| Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI | 127 | -1.26 | -2.60 | -4.40 | 30.71 | -3.76 |
| MACD above signal line | 321 | -1.03 | -1.64 | -3.26 | 33.44 | -2.81 |
| Above key moving averages | 213 | -0.65 | -1.46 | -3.17 | 30.99 | -2.62 |
| Above-average volume | 267 | -0.07 | +0.19 | -0.71 | 42.31 | -0.97 |
| RSI in healthy range | 658 | -0.21 | -0.40 | -0.37 | 42.33 | -1.57 |
| Bullish pattern | 22 | -1.33 | -0.93 | +5.09 | 54.55 | -2.09 |
| Inverse Head and Shoulders | 1 | -0.82 | +13.90 | +54.46 | 100.00 | +12.74 |
| Double Bottom | 17 | -0.51 | -1.06 | -1.42 | 58.82 | -2.23 |
| Triple Bottom | 3 | -5.79 | -2.86 | +23.94 | 33.33 | -4.03 |
| Bull Flag | 1 | -2.35 | -7.58 | +3.43 | 0.00 | -8.74 |
| Cup and Handle | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Head and Shoulders | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Double Top | 16 | -2.07 | -3.41 | -4.94 | 26.67 | -4.57 |
| Triple Top | 1 | -0.43 | -3.85 | -9.00 | 0.00 | -5.01 |
| Bear Flag | 0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Breakdown below support | 8 | +0.23 | +3.16 | -2.66 | 62.50 | +2.00 |
| Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Bars | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 1.5371 | 2026-10-08 | 1.3642 | Stop loss | 16 | -11.44% |
| 2026-09-04 | 1.4519 | 2026-09-15 | 1.2838 | Stop loss | 11 | -11.77% |
| 2026-08-22 | 1.4550 | 2026-09-02 | 1.3304 | Stop loss | 11 | -8.76% |
| 2026-08-21 | 1.2687 | 2026-08-21 | 1.4683 | Take profit | 0 | +15.52% |
| 2026-08-20 | 1.1065 | 2026-08-20 | 1.2427 | Take profit | 0 | +12.10% |
| 2026-06-16 | 1.2388 | 2026-06-19 | 1.1196 | Stop loss | 3 | -9.81% |
| 2026-03-05 | 1.4316 | 2026-06-02 | 1.2339 | Stop loss | 89 | -14.00% |
| 2026-01-08 | 2.1669 | 2026-01-19 | 1.9437 | Stop loss | 11 | -10.49% |
| 2026-01-06 | 2.3491 | 2026-01-07 | 2.1509 | Stop loss | 1 | -8.63% |
| 2025-08-08 | 3.3213 | 2025-08-19 | 2.9149 | Stop loss | 11 | -12.42% |
| 2025-07-24 | 3.1855 | 2025-08-02 | 2.7649 | Stop loss | 9 | -13.39% |
| 2025-07-18 | 3.4830 | 2025-07-23 | 3.1262 | Stop loss | 5 | -10.43% |
| 2025-07-13 | 2.7409 | 2025-07-17 | 3.2713 | Take profit | 4 | +19.13% |
| 2025-05-10 | 2.3450 | 2025-05-31 | 2.1198 | Stop loss | 21 | -9.79% |
| 2025-03-05 | 2.4554 | 2025-03-11 | 1.9000 | Stop loss | 6 | -22.80% |
| 2025-03-03 | 2.9410 | 2025-03-03 | 2.4539 | Stop loss | 0 | -16.74% |