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XRPUSDT (1d)

2024-11-13 → 2026-11-11 · 729 bars · generated 2026-11-12 07:14 UTC

Signal on the last closed bar
Neutral
Score 1.5 / 21 · 7% confidence · close 1.0524
Strategy return
-14.15%
Buy & hold +49.45%
Max drawdown
-15.42%
Exposure 27%
Sharpe ratio
-1.12
annualised
Win rate
18.8%
16 trades
Profit factor
0.43
Avg trade -7.11%
Fees paid
55.01
Capital 10,000
Chance of loss
94%
2,000 Monte Carlo runs

Price, signals & trades

hover a candle to see why it scored

Equity vs buy & hold

Signal checklist (last bar)

  • Trendline breakout+5
  • Swing point breakout+4
  • Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI+3
  • MACD above signal line+2
  • Above key moving averages+2
  • Above-average volume+1.5
  • RSI in healthy range+1
  • Bullish pattern+2.5

Trade plan

No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.

Monte Carlo – 2,000 resampled trade sequences

Median return %-14.17
Return 5th percentile %-23.77
Return 95th percentile %+2.49
Median max drawdown %-17.44
Max drawdown 5th percentile %-25.12
Probability of loss %94.10

Signal edge – what happened after each signal

SignalCountAvg 5-bar %Avg 10-bar %Avg 20-bar %Hit rate 10-bar %Edge 10-bar %
All bars (baseline)729+0.62+1.16+1.7643.530.00
Long or Strong Long38+0.37-2.77-6.1523.68-3.93
Strong Long5-5.21-5.89-8.7220.00-7.05
Trendline breakout8-4.42-4.52-5.4425.00-5.68
Swing point breakout4-3.36-8.81-6.0225.00-9.97
Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI127-1.26-2.60-4.4030.71-3.76
MACD above signal line321-1.03-1.64-3.2633.44-2.81
Above key moving averages213-0.65-1.46-3.1730.99-2.62
Above-average volume267-0.07+0.19-0.7142.31-0.97
RSI in healthy range658-0.21-0.40-0.3742.33-1.57
Bullish pattern22-1.33-0.93+5.0954.55-2.09
Inverse Head and Shoulders1-0.82+13.90+54.46100.00+12.74
Double Bottom17-0.51-1.06-1.4258.82-2.23
Triple Bottom3-5.79-2.86+23.9433.33-4.03
Bull Flag1-2.35-7.58+3.430.00-8.74
Cup and Handle0–––––
Head and Shoulders0–––––
Double Top16-2.07-3.41-4.9426.67-4.57
Triple Top1-0.43-3.85-9.000.00-5.01
Bear Flag0–––––
Breakdown below support8+0.23+3.16-2.6662.50+2.00

Trades

EntryEntry priceExitExit priceReasonBarsReturn
2026-09-221.53712026-10-081.3642Stop loss16-11.44%
2026-09-041.45192026-09-151.2838Stop loss11-11.77%
2026-08-221.45502026-09-021.3304Stop loss11-8.76%
2026-08-211.26872026-08-211.4683Take profit0+15.52%
2026-08-201.10652026-08-201.2427Take profit0+12.10%
2026-06-161.23882026-06-191.1196Stop loss3-9.81%
2026-03-051.43162026-06-021.2339Stop loss89-14.00%
2026-01-082.16692026-01-191.9437Stop loss11-10.49%
2026-01-062.34912026-01-072.1509Stop loss1-8.63%
2025-08-083.32132025-08-192.9149Stop loss11-12.42%
2025-07-243.18552025-08-022.7649Stop loss9-13.39%
2025-07-183.48302025-07-233.1262Stop loss5-10.43%
2025-07-132.74092025-07-173.2713Take profit4+19.13%
2025-05-102.34502025-05-312.1198Stop loss21-9.79%
2025-03-052.45542025-03-111.9000Stop loss6-22.80%
2025-03-032.94102025-03-032.4539Stop loss0-16.74%