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ZECUSDT (1d)

2024-11-13 → 2026-11-11 · 729 bars · generated 2026-11-12 07:14 UTC

Signal on the last closed bar
Neutral
Score 2.5 / 21 · 12% confidence · close 964.38
Strategy return
+49.91%
Buy & hold +2,199.43%
Max drawdown
-5.95%
Exposure 36%
Sharpe ratio
1.79
annualised
Win rate
60.7%
28 trades
Profit factor
2.67
Avg trade +12.62%
Fees paid
85.51
Capital 10,000
Chance of loss
0%
2,000 Monte Carlo runs

Price, signals & trades

hover a candle to see why it scored

Equity vs buy & hold

Signal checklist (last bar)

  • Trendline breakout+5
  • Swing point breakout+4
  • Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI+3
  • MACD above signal line+2
  • Above key moving averages+2
  • Above-average volume+1.5
  • RSI in healthy range+1
  • Bullish pattern+2.5

Trade plan

No entry signal on the last closed bar – the checklist shows which conditions are missing.

Monte Carlo – 2,000 resampled trade sequences

Median return %+49.91
Return 5th percentile %+15.00
Return 95th percentile %+90.14
Median max drawdown %-5.96
Max drawdown 5th percentile %-11.55
Probability of loss %0.35

Signal edge – what happened after each signal

SignalCountAvg 5-bar %Avg 10-bar %Avg 20-bar %Hit rate 10-bar %Edge 10-bar %
All bars (baseline)729+3.76+7.98+18.0655.630.00
Long or Strong Long92+10.35+24.08+39.1459.34+16.09
Strong Long10+21.96+48.87+72.7970.00+40.89
Trendline breakout9+22.87+35.71+44.9455.56+27.73
Swing point breakout13+17.88+36.40+68.1976.92+28.42
Strong uptrend - ADX>25, +DI>-DI236+7.72+18.07+39.4358.90+10.08
MACD above signal line390+4.61+9.58+21.7656.36+1.59
Above key moving averages333+5.84+12.86+32.4152.71+4.87
Above-average volume264+4.81+10.31+18.7252.14+2.33
RSI in healthy range613+2.74+5.80+15.3753.40-2.18
Bullish pattern20-2.73+7.63+19.9447.37-0.36
Inverse Head and Shoulders0–––––
Double Bottom16-4.69+10.27+21.4546.67+2.29
Triple Bottom3-1.06-6.90-0.0433.33-14.88
Bull Flag1+23.63+11.53+57.27100.00+3.54
Cup and Handle0–––––
Head and Shoulders1-19.65-10.49-25.820.00-18.48
Double Top11+9.14+13.65+18.3454.55+5.67
Triple Top3+4.20-10.49–50.00-18.47
Bear Flag0–––––
Breakdown below support6+4.17-8.18-1.2933.33-16.17

Trades

EntryEntry priceExitExit priceReasonBarsReturn
2026-11-071,323.552026-11-101,084.77Stop loss3-18.22%
2026-09-181,467.662026-10-081,227.54Stop loss20-16.54%
2026-09-111,080.492026-09-171,462.91Take profit6+35.16%
2026-09-071,228.202026-09-101,064.69Stop loss3-13.50%
2026-08-24854.422026-09-061,071.40Take profit13+25.17%
2026-06-03609.942026-06-04493.33Stop loss1-19.30%
2026-05-21673.812026-05-26567.91Stop loss5-15.90%
2026-05-06517.232026-05-20661.67Take profit14+27.70%
2026-05-05422.932026-05-05537.30Take profit0+26.81%
2026-04-09323.672026-05-04420.72Take profit25+29.75%
2026-04-02251.562026-04-08338.30Take profit6+34.25%
2025-11-26511.572025-12-02315.18Stop loss6-38.55%
2025-11-12443.702025-11-23517.74Breakdown11+16.47%
2025-11-09601.012025-11-11443.90Stop loss2-26.31%
2025-11-08645.802025-11-08502.88Stop loss0-22.31%
2025-11-06478.582025-11-07709.27Take profit1+47.95%
2025-10-27325.442025-11-05495.56Take profit9+52.02%
2025-10-11225.832025-10-26351.76Take profit15+55.51%
2025-10-09177.692025-10-10265.08Take profit1+48.93%
2025-10-03131.462025-10-08177.44Take profit5+34.74%
2025-10-02120.902025-10-02157.07Take profit0+29.68%
2025-10-0174.342025-10-0196.40Take profit0+29.45%
2025-09-2558.752025-09-3074.31Take profit5+26.26%
2025-08-2444.862025-09-2457.65Take profit31+28.27%
2025-05-2349.002025-06-1742.58Stop loss25-13.29%
2025-04-2935.682025-05-2247.48Take profit23+32.84%
2025-02-1836.482025-03-0929.42Stop loss19-19.53%
2024-12-2465.842025-01-0850.07Stop loss15-24.14%